GOTV Intel

Texas U.S. Senate, Class 2

Texas has two U.S. Senate seats. The Class 1 seat

Who Holds This Seat

John Cornyn

Republican · U.S. Senator

Holds This SeatLost the 2026 runoff

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Running in 2026

CandidateNov 3 General
Ted Brown

Libertarian

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
New finance report · Oct 7
Raised
$21,454cycle to date through Jun 30
Cash on Hand
$1,151cycle to date through Jun 30

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jun 30, 2026

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CandidateNov 3 General
Ken Paxton

Republican · Attorney General (TX-AG)

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
New finance report · Oct 9
Raised
$9,240,578cycle to date through Jun 30
Cash on Hand
$1,755,294cycle to date through Jun 30

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jun 30, 2026

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CandidateNov 3 General
James Talarico

Democrat · State Representative (TX-HD-50)

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
$68,555,930cycle to date through Jun 30
Cash on Hand
$21,548,155cycle to date through Jun 30

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jun 30, 2026

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CandidateNov 3 General
Avery L Ayers

Write-in

Ballot
Write-in candidate
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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CandidateNov 3 General
Bradford Winston Hall

Write-in

Ballot
Write-in candidate
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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CandidateNov 3 General
Zul Mirza Mohamed

American Party

Ballot
Write-in candidate
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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CandidateNov 3 General
Jade Simmons

Independent

Ballot
Write-in candidate
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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Polls

  • Marist PollGeneral election · U.S. Senate

    James Talarico 50% · Ken Paxton 44% · Someone else 2% · Undecided/Refused 4%

    Sep 17, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026 · 1,139 RV · ±4.4 pts · phone/text/online · Marist Poll Texas

  • Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral election · U.S. Senate

    James Talarico 47% · Ken Paxton 46% · Ted Brown 3% · Undecided 4%

    Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 19, 2026 · 1,800 LV · ±2.31 pts · SMS/online (text-to-web) · Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center

  • Emerson College Polling for Nexstar MediaGeneral election · U.S. Senate

    James Talarico 47% · Ken Paxton 46% · Ted Brown 2% · Undecided 4%

    Sep 12, 2026 to Sep 14, 2026 · 1,000 LV · ±3 pts · MMS text-to-web · Emerson College Polling

  • ReconMRGeneral election · U.S. Senate

    James Talarico 49% · Ken Paxton 43% · Someone else/Wouldn't vote 4% · Undecided 4%

    Sep 8, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026 · 614 LV · ±4.3 pts · IVR/online · ReconMR Texas Poll

  • Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy for NBC5 Dallas/Telemundo Station GroupGeneral election · U.S. Senate

    James Talarico 46% · Ken Paxton 43% · Ted Brown 3% · Undecided 8%

    Sep 8, 2026 to Sep 10, 2026 · 625 LV · ±4 pts · phone · NBC5 Dallas/Telemundo Station Group Texas Voter Poll

  • Hobby School of Public Affairs / University of HoustonRepublican runoff · U.S. Senate

    Ken Paxton 48% · John Cornyn 45% · Undecided 7%

    Apr 28, 2026 to May 1, 2026 · 1,200 LV · ±2.83 pts · online · UH Hobby School of Public Affairs

  • Hobby School of Public Affairs / University of HoustonDemocratic primary · U.S. Senate

    Jasmine Crockett 47% · James Talarico 39% · Undecided 12%

    Jan 20, 2026 to Jan 31, 2026 · 1,502 LV · ±2.53 pts · online (English and Spanish) · UH Hobby School of Public Affairs

  • Hobby School of Public Affairs / University of HoustonRepublican primary · U.S. Senate

    Ken Paxton 38% · John Cornyn 31% · Wesley Hunt 17% · Other/Undecided 14%

    Jan 20, 2026 to Jan 31, 2026 · 1,502 LV · ±2.53 pts · online (English and Spanish) · UH Hobby School of Public Affairs

Released public polls of this race, as each pollster reported them. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast.

On File, Not Running

Jasmine Crockett

Democrat · U.S. Representative

Lost the 2026 primary

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Wesley Hunt

Republican · U.S. Representative

Lost the 2026 primary

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Ahmad Hassan

Democrat · Ran for U.S. Senate

Lost the 2026 primary

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Alexander Duncan

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Andrew Alvarez

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Andrew Kyle Trakas

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Anna Bender

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Lost the 2026 primary

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Camencia Ford

No party · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Daniel M Sims

Libertarian · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Doc Leo Wyatt

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Emily Morgul

Democrat · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Gulrez Khan

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Lost the 2026 primary

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Hans Truelson

No party · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Jennifer Tawanda Brown Gaines

Liberal · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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John Adefope

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Lost the 2026 primary

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Joshua Cain

Independent · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Michael Swanson

Democrat · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Paula Stephen Williams

Democrat · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Rennie Hill Mann

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Rodger Huse

Other party · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Ronald Evans Jr

Independent · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Sara Larue Canady

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Lost the 2026 primary

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Tony Schmoker

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Not running in 2026

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Virgil Bierschwale

Republican · Ran for U.S. Senate

Lost the 2026 primary

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Past Results

U.S. Sen

2020 General Election · Nov 3, 2020
CandidateVotesShare
CornynRepublican5,961,64353.5%
HegarDemocrat4,887,30943.9%
McKennonLibertarian209,6231.9%
CollinsGreen81,7530.7%

Official canvass returns (Texas Secretary of State), compiled by the Texas Legislative Council and reported by 2020 general election VTDs · Texas Legislative Council, Capitol Data Portal — Comprehensive Election Datasets

U.S. Senator

2020 November General Election · Nov 3, 2020
CandidateVotesShare
John CornynRepublican5,962,98353.5%
Mary "mj" HegarDemocrat4,888,76443.9%
Kerry Douglas McKennonLibertarian209,7221.9%
David B. CollinsGreen81,8930.7%
Ricardo Turullols-BonillaWrite-in6780.0%

Official canvassed results — Texas Secretary of State (results.texas-election.com) · Texas Secretary of State — Election Results

GOTV Intel reports are sourced, cited research leads your campaign confirms against the primary record before use. They are never a consumer report and never for employment, credit, insurance, housing or licensure.