GOTV Intel

Montana 1st Congressional District

Congressional District 1

Covers all of Flathead County, Beaverhead County, Lincoln County, Madison County, Glacier County, Sanders County, Missoula County, Gallatin County, Powell County, Ravalli County, Granite County, Lake County, Deer Lodge County and Silver Bow County; parts of Mineral County and Pondera County.

Who Holds This Seat

Ryan K. Zinke

Republican · U.S. Representative

Holds This SeatNot running in 2026

Running in 2026

CandidateNov 3 General
Aaron Flint

Republican

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
New finance report · Oct 8
Raised
$1,296,232cycle to date through Jun 30
Cash on Hand
$502,201cycle to date through Jun 30

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jun 30, 2026

CandidateNov 3 General
Samuel Kelley Forstag

Democrat

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
New finance report · Sep 30
Raised
$1,384,064cycle to date through Jun 30
Cash on Hand
$550,079cycle to date through Jun 30

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jun 30, 2026

CandidateNov 3 General
Nick Sheedy

Libertarian

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

Polls

  • Rutgers Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling for Montana Free PressGeneral election · U.S. House

    Aaron Flint 42% · Samuel Kelley Forstag 41% · Nick Sheedy 5% · None/other/no vote 11%

    Aug 27, 2026 to Sep 7, 2026 · 375 RV · ±6 pts · SMS/online · Montana Free Press

Released public polls of this race, as each pollster reported them. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast.

On File, Not Running

Christi Jacobsen

Republican · Secretary of State

Lost the 2026 primary

Albert Olszewski

Republican · Ran for 1st Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

Matthew Rains

Democrat · Ran for 1st Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

Russell Tyler Cleveland

Democrat · Ran for 1st Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

Ryan Busse

Democrat · Ran for 1st Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

The District

Includes Anaconda-Deer Lodge County, Butte-Silver Bow (balance), Big Sky, Bigfork, Bozeman, Condon, Missoula, Niarada, Ponderosa Pines, Sedan, Trego, Yaak and 182 more.

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345 precincts · District lines: Congressional lines: U.S. Census Bureau (1:500,000 cartographic boundary, 119th Congress) · Precinct lines: Montana State Library (MSDI Administrative Boundaries Framework), Montana Voting Precincts statewide layer (county-submitted precincts, 2023+); 2020 elections: U.S. Census Bureau 2020 voting districts; Census 2020 VTDs for the elections before the current layer

Results in This District

ContestFirstSecondMarginVotes
2024 President344 precinctsMontana Secretary of StateCertified — Montana Secretary of State…Donald J. Trump (R)174,572 · 54.2%Kamala D. Harris (D)137,348 · 42.7%R+11.6321,967
2024 U.S. Senate344 precinctsMontana Secretary of StateCertified — Montana Secretary of State…Jon Tester (D)160,551 · 49.5%Tim Sheehy (R)158,229 · 48.8%D+0.7324,354
2024 Governor344 precinctsMontana Secretary of StateCertified — Montana Secretary of State…Greg Gianforte (R)174,876 · 54.4%Ryan Busse (D)138,711 · 43.1%R+11.2321,562
2020 President291 precinctsMontana Secretary of StateCertified — Montana Secretary of State…Donald J. Trump And Michael R. Pence (R)159,743 · 53.2%Joseph R. Biden And Kamala D. Harris (D)133,198 · 44.3%R+8.8300,438
2020 U.S. Senate291 precinctsMontana Secretary of StateCertified — Montana Secretary of State…Steve Daines (R)155,442 · 51.6%Steve Bullock (D)146,012 · 48.4%R+3.1301,454
2020 Governor291 precinctsMontana Secretary of StateCertified — Montana Secretary of State…Greg Gianforte And Kristen Juras (R)153,539 · 51.1%Mike Cooney And Casey Schreiner (D)135,200 · 45.0%R+6.1300,458

Totals add up the certified precinct results for the precincts inside today's district lines. A precinct split by the district line counts in full, or only in the district holding most of its voters where the linkage assigns it to one, and votes a county reported only countywide (some counties' absentee and early votes) are left out, so totals can differ from an official canvass.

Past Results

United States Representative - District 1

2024 General Election · Nov 5, 2024
CandidateVotesShare
Ryan K ZinkeRepublican168,52952.3%
Monica TranelDemocrat143,78344.6%
Dennis HayesLibertarian9,9543.1%

Certified — Montana Secretary of State general election canvass, precinct by precinct · Montana Secretary of State — General Election Precinct by Precinct results

United States Representative - District 1

2022 General Election · Nov 8, 2022
CandidateVotesShare
Ryan ZinkeRepublican123,10249.6%
Monica TranelDemocrat115,26546.5%
Jonathan LambLibertarian9,5933.9%

Certified — Montana Secretary of State general election canvass, precinct by precinct · Montana Secretary of State — General Election Precinct by Precinct results

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