GOTV Intel

Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District

Congressional District 16

Covers all of Crawford County, Erie County, Butler County, Mercer County and Lawrence County; part of Venango County.

Who Holds This Seat

George Joseph Kelly Jr.

Republican · U.S. Representative

Holds This SeatOn the 2026 ballot

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Running in 2026

IncumbentNov 3 General
George Joseph Kelly Jr.

Republican · U.S. Representative

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
$1,181,235cycle to date through Jun 30
Cash on Hand
$1,329,347cycle to date through Jun 30

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jun 30, 2026

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ChallengerNov 3 General
Justin Reed Wagner

Democrat

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
$42,136cycle to date through Jun 30
Cash on Hand
$37,534cycle to date through Jun 30

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jun 30, 2026

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On File, Not Running

Nicholas Singelis II

Independent · Ran for 16th Congressional District

Not on the 2026 ballot

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The District

Includes Hermitage, Sugarcreek (part), Erie, New Beaver, Pymatuning Central, Conneaut Lakeshore, Corry, Homeacre-Lyndora, New Castle, Shanor-Northvue, Avonia, Barkeyville and 129 more.

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495 precincts · District lines: Congressional lines: U.S. Census Bureau (1:500,000 cartographic boundary, 119th Congress) · Precinct lines: U.S. Census Bureau, 2020 TIGER/Line voting districts (VTD20)

Results in This District

ContestFirstSecondMarginVotes
2024 President477 precinctsPennsylvania Department of StateOfficial precinct returnsDonald J Trump & Jd Vance (R)247,101 · 61.1%Kamala D Harris & Tim Walz (D)153,621 · 38.0%R+23.1404,127
2024 U.S. Senate477 precinctsPennsylvania Department of StateOfficial precinct returnsDave Mccormick (R)236,425 · 58.8%Robert P Casey Jr (D)155,965 · 38.8%R+20.0402,128
2022 U.S. Senate478 precinctsPennsylvania Department of StateOfficial precinct returnsMehmet Oz (R)172,781 · 55.5%John Fetterman (D)130,254 · 41.8%R+13.7311,260
2022 Governor478 precinctsPennsylvania Department of StateOfficial precinct returnsDouglas V Mastriano And Carrie Lewis Delrosso (R)157,339 · 50.6%Josh Shapiro And Austin Davis (D)147,789 · 47.5%R+3.1311,171
2020 President478 precinctsPennsylvania Department of StateOfficial precinct returnsDonald J. Trump (R)235,547 · 59.9%Joseph Robinette Biden Jr (D)152,854 · 38.8%R+21.0393,548

Totals add up the certified precinct results for the precincts inside today's district lines. A precinct split by the district line counts in full, or only in the district holding most of its voters where the linkage assigns it to one, and votes a county reported only countywide (some counties' absentee and early votes) are left out, so totals can differ from an official canvass.

Past Results

U.S. House District 16

2024 Pennsylvania General Election · Nov 5, 2024
CandidateVotesShare
George Joseph Kelly Jr.Republican256,92363.7%
Preston A NouriDemocrat146,70936.3%

Official precinct returns (PA Department of State bulk data; Philadelphia City Commissioners certified file) · Pennsylvania Department of State — official statewide precinct returns…

U.S. House District 16

2022 Pennsylvania General Election · Nov 8, 2022
CandidateVotesShare
George J Kelly JrRepublican190,38859.4%
Daniel PastoreDemocrat130,35340.6%

Official precinct returns (PA Department of State bulk data; Philadelphia City Commissioners certified file) · Pennsylvania Department of State — official statewide precinct returns…

U.S. House District 16

2020 Pennsylvania General Election · Nov 3, 2020
CandidateVotesShare
George J Kelly JrRepublican210,08659.3%
Kristy Marie GnibusDemocrat143,96240.7%

Official precinct returns (PA Department of State bulk data; Philadelphia City Commissioners certified file) · Pennsylvania Department of State — official statewide precinct returns…