GOTV Intel

New Hampshire House, Strafford 21

State House District Strafford 21 (floterial)

Covers part of Strafford County.

Who Holds This Seat

Geoff Smith

Democrat · State Representative

Holds This SeatOn the 2026 ballot

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Seth Miller

Democrat · State Representative

Holds This SeatOn the 2026 ballot

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Luz Bay

Democrat · State Representative

Holds This Seat2026 status not confirmed

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Running in 2026

IncumbentNov 3 General
Seth Miller

Democrat · State Representative

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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IncumbentNov 3 General
Geoff Smith

Democrat · State Representative

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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CandidateNov 3 General
Joseph D. Morganella

Republican

Not yet in our records

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
None on file
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

ChallengerNov 3 General
Alice Wade

Democrat · State Representative (NH-HD-STRAFFORD-15)

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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The District

Includes Dover Ward 1, Dover Ward 2, Dover Ward 3, Dover Ward 5 and Dover Ward 6.

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6 precincts · District lines: Floterial district: union of the towns/wards listed for it in the NH General Court '2022 State Representative and Republican Delegate Districts' (gc.nh.gov/downloads), town/ward shapes from U.S. Census Bureau 2020 VTDs · Precinct lines: NH GRANIT (NH Office of Planning and Development GIS clearinghouse), — towns and city wards as redistricted in 2022 (nhgeodata.unh.edu APB_ElectoralDistricts/FeatureServer/11)

Results in This District

ContestFirstSecondMarginVotes
2024 President6 precinctsNew Hampshire Secretary of StateOfficial — New Hampshire Secretary of…Kamala D. Harris and Tim Walz (D)12,655 · 64.4%Donald J. Trump and JD Vance (R)6,650 · 33.8%D+30.519,660
2024 Governor6 precinctsNew Hampshire Secretary of StateOfficial — New Hampshire Secretary of…Joyce Craig (D)11,228 · 57.9%Kelly Ayotte (R)7,789 · 40.2%D+17.719,386
2022 U.S. Senate6 precinctsNew Hampshire Secretary of StateOfficial — New Hampshire Secretary of…Hassan (D)10,164 · 67.9%Bolduc (R)4,539 · 30.3%D+37.614,978
2022 Governor6 precinctsNew Hampshire Secretary of StateOfficial — New Hampshire Secretary of…Sherman (D)8,204 · 55.0%Sununu (R)6,495 · 43.5%D+11.414,926
2020 President6 precinctsNew Hampshire Secretary of StateOfficial — New Hampshire Secretary of…Biden and Harris (D)12,508 · 65.2%Trump and Pence (R)6,331 · 33.0%D+32.219,185
2020 U.S. Senate6 precinctsNew Hampshire Secretary of StateOfficial — New Hampshire Secretary of…Shaheen (D)13,010 · 68.3%Messner (R)5,504 · 28.9%D+39.419,055
2020 Governor6 precinctsNew Hampshire Secretary of StateOfficial — New Hampshire Secretary of…Sununu (R)10,214 · 53.8%Feltes (D)8,411 · 44.3%R+9.518,980

Totals add up the certified precinct results for the precincts inside today's district lines. A precinct split by the district line counts in full, or only in the district holding most of its voters where the linkage assigns it to one, and votes a county reported only countywide (some counties' absentee and early votes) are left out, so totals can differ from an official canvass.

Past Results

State Representative, Strafford District 21

2024 State General Election · Nov 5, 2024
CandidateVotesShare
Luz BayDemocrat9,26122.4%
Seth MillerDemocrat8,80921.3%
Geoffrey SmithDemocrat8,41720.3%
Renee L. BlaisdellRepublican5,17312.5%
Gary FratusRepublican4,86011.7%
John V. CaggianoRepublican4,83611.7%
Write-in80.0%

Official — New Hampshire Secretary of State general election results by town/ward · New Hampshire Secretary of State — general election results workbooks

State Representative, Strafford District 21

2022 State General Election · Nov 8, 2022
CandidateVotesShare
BayDemocrat7,67423.4%
TreleavenDemocrat7,24122.1%
SmithDemocrat6,97621.3%
HastingsRepublican3,75311.4%
CastaldoRepublican3,64211.1%
CaggianoRepublican3,52610.7%
Write-in90.0%

Official — New Hampshire Secretary of State general election results by town/ward · New Hampshire Secretary of State — general election results workbooks

State Representative, Strafford District 21

2020 State General Election · Nov 3, 2020
CandidateVotesShare
SandlerDemocrat6,87656.0%
MunckRepublican5,39544.0%
Write-in30.0%

Official — New Hampshire Secretary of State general election results by town/ward · New Hampshire Secretary of State — general election results workbooks