GOTV Intel

Florida House District 51

State House District 51

Covers part of Polk County.

Who Holds This Seat

Hilary Holley

Republican · State Representative

Holds This SeatOn the 2026 ballot

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Running in 2026

IncumbentNov 3 General
Hilary Holley

Republican · State Representative

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Oct 4
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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ChallengerNov 3 General
Octavio E. Hernandez

Democrat

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Oct 4
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

ProfileOrder a GOTV Intel Report

The District

Includes Lake Alfred, Haines City (part), Auburndale, Four Corners (part), Polk City, Davenport, Loughman and Inwood.

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43 precincts · District lines: State house lines: U.S. Census Bureau (1:500,000 cartographic boundary) · Precinct lines: Alachua County Supervisor of Elections, Voting Precincts layer; Broward County Supervisor of Elections, VoterPrecincts2026 layer; Volusia County Supervisor of Elections, Precincts layer (Election_Voter MapServer/1); Hillsborough County Supervisor of Elections, Hillsborough County Precincts layer; Palm Beach County, Voting Precincts (maps.co.palm-beach.fl.us OpenData); Pinellas County GIS,; Miami-Dade County, Precinct layer (MDPublisher Precinct_gdb) — official county layers; Census 2020 VTDs kept elsewhere in the state; U.S. Census Bureau 2020 TIGER/Line VTDs where no official layer

Results in This District

ContestFirstSecondMarginVotes
2024 President37 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsTrump / Vance (R)51,175 · 56.4%Harris / Walz (D)38,503 · 42.4%R+14.090,750
2024 U.S. Senate37 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsRick Scott (R)49,574 · 55.8%Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)37,686 · 42.4%R+13.488,912
2022 U.S. Senate40 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsMarco Rubio (R)36,169 · 60.6%Val Demings (D)22,765 · 38.2%R+22.559,672
2022 Governor40 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsDeSantis / Nuñez (R)37,227 · 62.3%Crist / Hernandez (D)22,084 · 37.0%R+25.359,766
2020 President43 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsTrump / Pence (R)58,802 · 54.3%Biden / Harris (D)48,309 · 44.6%R+9.7108,355

Totals add up the certified precinct results for the precincts inside today's district lines. A precinct split by the district line counts in full, or only in the district holding most of its voters where the linkage assigns it to one, and votes a county reported only countywide (some counties' absentee and early votes) are left out, so totals can differ from an official canvass.

Past Results

State Representative District 51

2024 General Election · Nov 5, 2024
CandidateVotesShare
Josie TomkowRepublican51,05056.9%
Octavio E. HernandezDemocrat38,68343.1%

Official results (Florida Division of Elections precinct-level file, compiled from county SOE submissions) · Florida Department of State, Division of Elections — Precinct-Level Election…

State Representative District 51

2020 General Election · Nov 3, 2020
CandidateVotesShare
Tyler SiroisRepublican59,40561.8%
Joan Marie MajidDemocrat36,69438.2%

Official results (Florida Division of Elections precinct-level file, compiled from county SOE submissions) · Florida Department of State, Division of Elections — Precinct-Level Election…