GOTV Intel

Florida 16th Congressional District

Congressional District 16

Covers all of Manatee County, DeSoto County and Hardee County; parts of Polk County, Sarasota County and Pinellas County.

Who Holds This Seat

Vern Buchanan

Republican · U.S. Representative

Holds This SeatNot running in 2026

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Running in 2026

CandidateNov 3 General
Mark Davis

Independent

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
$51,311cycle to date through Jul 29
Cash on Hand
$3,204cycle to date through Jul 29

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jul 29, 2026

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CandidateNov 3 General
Sydney Gruters

Republican

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 25
Raised
$1,087,683cycle to date through Jul 29
Cash on Hand
$622,381cycle to date through Jul 29

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jul 29, 2026

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CandidateNov 3 General
Kelly Kirschner

Democrat

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
$296,507cycle to date through Jul 29
Cash on Hand
$80,738cycle to date through Jul 29

View on FEC.govFEC, cycle to date through Jul 29, 2026

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On File, Not Running

Edward Peter Pope

Republican · Ran for 16th Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

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Glenn Keith Pearson

Democrat · Ran for 16th Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

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Jan Schneider

Democrat · Ran for 16th Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

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Jason Edward Speir

Republican · Ran for 16th Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

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Jonathan Harris

Democrat · Ran for 16th Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

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Tamika Lyles

Democrat · Ran for 16th Congressional District

Lost the 2026 primary

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The District

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209 precincts · District lines: Congressional lines: enacted plan "Plan EOGPCRP2026 (Congressional)" (HB 1-D, 2026 Special Session D; passed Apr 29, 2026; signed by Gov. DeSantis May 4, 2026); 2026 status: In effect for the 2026 elections: Leon County Circuit Court denied a preliminary injunction May 26, 2026; Florida Supreme Court let the map stand June 10, 2026. Official file https://www.edr.state.fl.us/Content/redistricting/2026redistricting/EOGPCRP2026.zip

Results in This District

ContestFirstSecondMarginVotes
2024 President212 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsTrump / Vance (R)263,359 · 56.8%Harris / Walz (D)194,295 · 41.9%R+14.9463,364
2024 U.S. Senate212 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsRick Scott (R)257,570 · 56.3%Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)192,466 · 42.1%R+14.2457,305
2022 U.S. Senate209 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsMarco Rubio (R)203,197 · 57.8%Val Demings (D)144,163 · 41.0%R+16.8351,438
2022 Governor209 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsDeSantis / Nuñez (R)208,751 · 59.3%Crist / Hernandez (D)141,539 · 40.2%R+19.1352,101
2020 President177 precinctsFlorida Department of State, Division of ElectionsOfficial resultsTrump / Pence (R)161,425 · 50.7%Biden / Harris (D)153,203 · 48.1%R+2.6318,414

Totals add up the certified precinct results for the precincts inside today's district lines. A precinct split by the district line counts in full, or only in the district holding most of its voters where the linkage assigns it to one, and votes a county reported only countywide (some counties' absentee and early votes) are left out, so totals can differ from an official canvass.

Past Results

Representative in Congress District 16

2024 General Election · Nov 5, 2024
CandidateVotesShare
Vern BuchananRepublican247,51659.5%
Jan SchneiderDemocrat168,62540.5%

Official results (Florida Division of Elections precinct-level file, compiled from county SOE submissions) · Florida Department of State, Division of Elections — Precinct-Level Election…

Representative in Congress District 16

2022 General Election · Nov 8, 2022
CandidateVotesShare
Vern BuchananRepublican189,76262.1%
Jan SchneiderDemocrat115,57537.8%
Write-in3580.1%

Official results (Florida Division of Elections precinct-level file, compiled from county SOE submissions) · Florida Department of State, Division of Elections — Precinct-Level Election…

Representative in Congress District 16

2020 General Election · Nov 3, 2020
CandidateVotesShare
Vern BuchananRepublican269,00155.5%
Margaret GoodDemocrat215,68344.5%

Official results (Florida Division of Elections precinct-level file, compiled from county SOE submissions) · Florida Department of State, Division of Elections — Precinct-Level Election…