GOTV Intel

Arizona Senate District 16

State Senate District 16

Covers parts of Pinal County, Pima County and Maricopa County.

Who Holds This Seat

Thomas "T.J." Shope

Republican · State Senator

Holds This SeatOn the 2026 ballot

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Running in 2026

IncumbentNov 3 General
Thomas "T.J." Shope

Republican · State Senator

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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ChallengerNov 3 General
Elaine Aldrete

Democrat

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

ProfileOrder a GOTV Intel Report

The District

Includes Casa Grande, Eloy, Coolidge, Red Rock, Maricopa, Avra Valley, Florence (part), Picture Rocks (part), Tucson Mountains (part), Blackwater, Casa Blanca, Ak-Chin Village and 20 more.

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74 precincts · District lines: State senate lines: U.S. Census Bureau (1:500,000 cartographic boundary) · Precinct lines: Maricopa County Elections Department, Voting Precincts (2022-2025); Pima County GIS, Voter Precincts — official county layers; Census 2020 VTDs kept in the other 13 counties; U.S. Census Bureau 2020 TIGER/Line VTDs where no official layer

Results in This District

ContestFirstSecondMarginVotes
2024 President73 precinctsArizona county official canvassesOfficial canvassTrump / Vance (R)48,833 · 45.6%Harris / Walz (D)36,208 · 33.8%R+11.8107,046
2024 U.S. Senate73 precinctsArizona county official canvassesOfficial canvassKari Lake (R)52,650 · 49.8%Ruben Gallego (D)49,939 · 47.2%R+2.6105,704
2022 U.S. Senate73 precinctsArizona county official canvasses (Maricopa, Pima)Official canvassMark Kelly (D)36,596 · 48.9%Blake Masters (R)36,265 · 48.4%D+0.474,884
2022 Governor73 precinctsArizona county official canvasses (Maricopa, Pima)Official canvassKari Lake (R)39,007 · 52.2%Katie Hobbs (D)35,433 · 47.4%R+4.874,679
2020 President70 precinctsArizona Secretary of State — results detail (precinct level)Official resultsDonald J. Trump (R)55,205 · 51.4%Joseph Biden (D)50,543 · 47.1%R+4.3107,350
2020 U.S. Senate70 precinctsArizona Secretary of State — results detail (precinct level)Official resultsMartha McSally (R)53,726 · 50.5%Mark Kelly (D)52,621 · 49.5%R+1.0106,347

Totals add up the certified precinct results for the precincts inside today's district lines. A precinct split by the district line counts in full, or only in the district holding most of its voters where the linkage assigns it to one, and votes a county reported only countywide (some counties' absentee and early votes) are left out, so totals can differ from an official canvass.

Past Results

State Senate District 16

2024 Arizona General Election · Nov 5, 2024
CandidateVotesShare
Thomas "T.J." Shope Jr.Republican48,99651.5%
Stacey SeamanDemocrat45,88848.3%
Write-in1870.2%

Official canvass · Arizona county official canvasses

Sources (2)
  • Official canvass (county Boards of Supervisors)
  • partial state coverage — counties: Apache, Coconino, Gila, Graham, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz, Yuma, Greenlee (Greenlee County Board of Supervisors, Official Canvass 2024 General (certified 2024-11-19), precinct summary report), Cochise (Cochise County Elections, 2024 General Statement of Votes Cast - Precinct Summary Results Report (official))

State Senate District 16

2022 Arizona General Election · Nov 8, 2022
CandidateVotesShare
Thomas "T.J." ShopeRepublican33,50250.6%
Taylor KerbyDemocrat32,63649.3%
Write-in990.1%

Official canvass (county Boards of Supervisors); partial state coverage — counties: Coconino, Gila, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal · Arizona county official canvasses

State Senate District 16

2020 Arizona General Election · Nov 3, 2020
CandidateVotesShare
Kelly TownsendRepublican94,913100.0%
John Ross HartIndependent00.0%
Nick FierroIndependent00.0%
Richard GraysonDemocrat00.0%

Official results (Arizona Secretary of State precinct detail file, after county canvasses; state canvass 2020-11-30) · Arizona Secretary of State — results detail