GOTV Intel

Arizona House District 25

State House District 25

Covers parts of Yuma County and Maricopa County.

Who Holds This Seat

Michael Carbone

Republican · State Representative

Holds This SeatOn the 2026 ballot

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Nick Kupper

Republican · State Representative

Holds This SeatOn the 2026 ballot

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Running in 2026

IncumbentNov 3 General
Michael Carbone

Republican · State Representative

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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IncumbentNov 3 General
Nick Kupper

Republican · State Representative

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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ChallengerNov 3 General
Tiffany Byrne

Democrat

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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The District

Includes Buckeye (part), Yuma (part), Fortuna Foothills, Dateland, Wellton (part), Aztec, Citrus Park, Arlington, Buckshot, El Prado Estates, Martinez Lake, Padre Ranchitos and 5 more.

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69 precincts · District lines: State house lines: U.S. Census Bureau (1:500,000 cartographic boundary) · Precinct lines: Maricopa County Elections Department, Voting Precincts (2022-2025); Pima County GIS, Voter Precincts — official county layers; Census 2020 VTDs kept in the other 13 counties; U.S. Census Bureau 2020 TIGER/Line VTDs where no official layer

Results in This District

ContestFirstSecondMarginVotes
2024 President59 precinctsArizona county official canvassesOfficial canvassTrump / Vance (R)65,149 · 62.8%Harris / Walz (D)37,223 · 35.9%R+26.9103,822
2024 U.S. Senate59 precinctsArizona county official canvassesOfficial canvassKari Lake (R)59,001 · 57.6%Ruben Gallego (D)40,724 · 39.8%R+17.9102,369
2022 U.S. Senate49 precinctsArizona county official canvasses (Maricopa, Pima)Official canvassBlake Masters (R)32,536 · 57.7%Mark Kelly (D)22,504 · 39.9%R+17.856,380
2022 Governor49 precinctsArizona county official canvasses (Maricopa, Pima)Official canvassKari Lake (R)34,495 · 61.1%Katie Hobbs (D)21,599 · 38.2%R+22.856,470
2020 President44 precinctsArizona Secretary of State — results detail (precinct level)Official resultsDonald J. Trump (R)70,472 · 61.5%Joseph Biden (D)42,386 · 37.0%R+24.5114,597
2020 U.S. Senate44 precinctsArizona Secretary of State — results detail (precinct level)Official resultsMartha McSally (R)68,938 · 60.8%Mark Kelly (D)44,433 · 39.2%R+21.6113,371

Totals add up the certified precinct results for the precincts inside today's district lines. A precinct split by the district line counts in full, or only in the district holding most of its voters where the linkage assigns it to one, and votes a county reported only countywide (some counties' absentee and early votes) are left out, so totals can differ from an official canvass.

Past Results

State House District 25

2024 Arizona General Election · Nov 5, 2024
CandidateVotesShare
Michael CarboneRepublican68,42744.5%
Nickolas "Nick" KupperRepublican43,27728.1%
William "Bill" Peter OlearDemocrat41,57727.0%
Write-in6250.4%

Official canvass · Arizona county official canvasses

Sources (2)
  • Official canvass (county Boards of Supervisors)
  • partial state coverage — counties: Apache, Coconino, Gila, Graham, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz, Yuma, Greenlee (Greenlee County Board of Supervisors, Official Canvass 2024 General (certified 2024-11-19), precinct summary report), Cochise (Cochise County Elections, 2024 General Statement of Votes Cast - Precinct Summary Results Report (official))

State House District 25

2022 Arizona General Election · Nov 8, 2022
CandidateVotesShare
Timothy "Tim" DunnRepublican50,09950.9%
Michael CarboneRepublican46,34147.1%
Write-in1,9081.9%

Official canvass (county Boards of Supervisors); partial state coverage — counties: Coconino, Gila, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal · Arizona county official canvasses

State House District 25

2020 Arizona General Election · Nov 3, 2020
CandidateVotesShare
Michelle UdallRepublican69,04938.7%
Russell W. "Rusty" BowersRepublican63,41235.5%
Suzanne HugDemocrat46,18025.9%

Official results (Arizona Secretary of State precinct detail file, after county canvasses; state canvass 2020-11-30) · Arizona Secretary of State — results detail