GOTV Intel

Arizona House District 15

State House District 15

Covers parts of Pinal County and Maricopa County.

Who Holds This Seat

Michael Way

Republican · State Representative

Holds This SeatOn the 2026 ballot

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Neal Carter

Republican · State Representative

Holds This SeatOn the 2026 ballot

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Running in 2026

IncumbentNov 3 General
Neal Carter

Republican · State Representative

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

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IncumbentNov 3 General
Michael Way

Republican · State Representative

Ballot
On the 2026 ballot
Last Change
Profile updated · Sep 24
Raised
Not on file
Cash on Hand
Not on file

No finance filing on record.

ProfileOrder a GOTV Intel Report

The District

Includes San Tan Valley, Queen Creek and Mesa (part).

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47 precincts · District lines: State house lines: U.S. Census Bureau (1:500,000 cartographic boundary) · Precinct lines: Maricopa County Elections Department, Voting Precincts (2022-2025); Pima County GIS, Voter Precincts — official county layers; Census 2020 VTDs kept in the other 13 counties; U.S. Census Bureau 2020 TIGER/Line VTDs where no official layer

Results in This District

ContestFirstSecondMarginVotes
2024 President46 precinctsArizona county official canvassesOfficial canvassTrump / Vance (R)92,153 · 64.2%Harris / Walz (D)49,179 · 34.3%R+29.9143,542
2024 U.S. Senate46 precinctsArizona county official canvassesOfficial canvassKari Lake (R)84,711 · 59.9%Ruben Gallego (D)53,480 · 37.8%R+22.1141,507
2022 U.S. Senate46 precinctsArizona county official canvasses (Maricopa, Pima)Official canvassBlake Masters (R)57,131 · 59.2%Mark Kelly (D)37,254 · 38.6%R+20.696,526
2022 Governor46 precinctsArizona county official canvasses (Maricopa, Pima)Official canvassKari Lake (R)60,033 · 62.2%Katie Hobbs (D)35,991 · 37.3%R+24.996,461
2020 President38 precinctsArizona Secretary of State — results detail (precinct level)Official resultsDonald J. Trump (R)82,620 · 62.8%Joseph Biden (D)46,824 · 35.6%R+27.2131,579
2020 U.S. Senate38 precinctsArizona Secretary of State — results detail (precinct level)Official resultsMartha McSally (R)81,279 · 62.3%Mark Kelly (D)49,091 · 37.7%R+24.7130,370

Totals add up the certified precinct results for the precincts inside today's district lines. A precinct split by the district line counts in full, or only in the district holding most of its voters where the linkage assigns it to one, and votes a county reported only countywide (some counties' absentee and early votes) are left out, so totals can differ from an official canvass.

Past Results

State House District 15

2024 Arizona General Election · Nov 5, 2024
CandidateVotesShare
Michael WayRepublican78,98539.3%
Neal CarterRepublican75,41937.5%
Barbara BeneitoneDemocrat46,36823.0%
Write-in4620.2%

Official canvass · Arizona county official canvasses

Sources (2)
  • Official canvass (county Boards of Supervisors)
  • partial state coverage — counties: Apache, Coconino, Gila, Graham, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz, Yuma, Greenlee (Greenlee County Board of Supervisors, Official Canvass 2024 General (certified 2024-11-19), precinct summary report), Cochise (Cochise County Elections, 2024 General Statement of Votes Cast - Precinct Summary Results Report (official))

State House District 15

2022 Arizona General Election · Nov 8, 2022
CandidateVotesShare
Jacqueline ParkerRepublican58,26050.9%
Neal CarterRepublican53,88347.1%
Write-in2,2121.9%

Official canvass (county Boards of Supervisors); partial state coverage — counties: Coconino, Gila, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal · Arizona county official canvasses

State House District 15

2020 Arizona General Election · Nov 3, 2020
CandidateVotesShare
Steve KaiserRepublican71,90037.1%
Justin WilmethRepublican66,48234.3%
Kristin Dybvig-PawelkoDemocrat55,25928.5%

Official results (Arizona Secretary of State precinct detail file, after county canvasses; state canvass 2020-11-30) · Arizona Secretary of State — results detail